Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tromso IL in this match.