Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
3 - 1
Bodo/Glimt

(Tottenham Hotspur win 5-1 on aggregate)

Johnson (1'), Maddison (34'), Solanke (61' pen.)
Romero (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saltnes (83')
Andre Bjorkan (57'), Petter Hauge (76')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Brennan Johnson on May 1, 2025

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Bodo/Glimt: Spurs star Brennan Johnson makes Europa League history in first-leg success

Brennan Johnson creates Europa League history during Tottenham Hotspur's 3-1 victory over Bodo/Glimt in Thursday's semi-final first leg.

May 2, 08:41

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 KFUM
Sunday, April 27 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
49.38% ( 0.41)	20.95% ( -0.13)	29.67% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 70.26% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.72% (

0.49)

28.28% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.91% (

0.61)

49.09% (

-0.6)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.84% (

0.3)

12.16% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.22% (

0.63)

37.78% (

-0.62)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

0.1)

20.01% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

0.16)

52.21% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 49.38%

Bodo/Glimt 29.67%

Draw 20.95%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.72% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.67%