Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.