Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.