Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tromso IL in this match.