Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.