Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 4

Apr 27, 2025 at 4pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 3
Stromsgodset

Karlsbakk (87'), Aron Gudjohnsen (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Farji (19'), Kristensen Dahl (51'), Taaje (85')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Stromsgodset.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions

Last Game: KFUM 1-3 Sarpsborg
Monday, April 21 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Stromsgodset

All competitions

Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-2 Brann
Monday, April 21 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Stromsgodset
39.56% ( -3.37)	25.22% ( 0.2)	35.22% ( 3.17)

Both teams to score 56.81% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.12)

46.8% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

-0.11)

69.06% (

0.1)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-1.7)

23.44% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.56% (

-2.52)

57.44% (

2.51)

Stromsgodset Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

1.87)

25.79% (

-1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

2.47)

60.74% (

-2.48)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 39.56%

Stromsgodset 35.22%

Draw 25.21%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Stromsgodset
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.38) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.41% Total : 35.22%