Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.