Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 5

May 3, 2025 at 5pm UK

Intility Arena

Valerenga
2 - 4
Brann

Brajanac (48'), Riisnaes (53')
Nogueira (51'), Strand (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kornvig (4'), Aron Gudmundsson (36'), Sande (81'), Heggebo (90+6' pen.)
Kornvig (33'), Pallesen Knudsen (40'), Fauske Helland (72')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Valerenga Fotball and SK Brann.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valerenga Fotball

All competitions

Last Game: Kristiansund 0-2 Valerenga
Sunday, April 27 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

SK Brann

All competitions

Last Game: Brann 3-2 Bryne
Sunday, April 27 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
Valerenga Fotball	Draw	SK Brann
30.99% ( 0.82)	22.29% ( -0.01)	46.73% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 65.96% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.79% (

0.54)

34.2% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.9% (

0.6)

56.1% (

-0.6)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

0.74)

22.22% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

1.1)

55.65% (

-1.1)

SK Brann Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.08)

15.2% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.17% (

-0.15)

43.83% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Valerenga Fotball 30.99%

SK Brann 46.73%

Draw 22.29%

Valerenga Fotball	Draw	SK Brann
2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.99%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.73%