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Eibar logo
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Cadiz logo

Eibar
0 - 2
Cadiz


Burgos (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Negredo (36'), Salvi (39')
Lozano (64')

Preview: Eibar vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Eibar and Cadiz, including team news and predicted lineups.

Two teams in impressive form will lock horns at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua on Friday evening with Eibar welcoming Cadiz in Spain's top flight.

Eibar have picked up eight points from their first seven matches of the 2020-21 La Liga campaign to occupy 11th position in the table, while Cadiz are sixth with 11 points to show from their first seven fixtures.


Match preview

Eibar boss Jose Luis Mendilibar pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Eibar's form in the early weeks of the season - three defeats from their first four matches - led to suggestions that it could be a long and difficult campaign for Jose Luis Mendilibar's side.

Los Armeros have picked up seven points from their last three fixtures, though, including an excellent 1-0 victory away to Europa League holders Sevilla last weekend.

Eibar have also beaten Real Valladolid and drawn with Osasuna since the start of October, and a total of eight points from seven matches has left them in 11th, above Barcelona in the table.

The Basque side have not actually operated outside of Spain's top flight since the 2013-14 campaign, but they finished 14th last term and will be keen to stay clear of the bottom three, even at this early stage.

Cadiz players celebrate Anthony Lozano's goal against Real Madrid on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Cadiz, meanwhile, have both surprised and impressed many with their performances in the early weeks of the campaign, showing that they are more than capable of operating at this level of football after a long absence.

A record of three wins, two draws and two defeats from seven matches has left them in sixth position in the table, only three points off division leaders Real Sociedad on the same number of games.

The Yellow Submarine were promoted back to La Liga for the first time since the 2005-06 season courtesy of finishing second in the Segunda Division last term.

There has been no inferiority complex in the early stages of 2020-21, though, having beaten Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid in their last two away matches, while they picked up a good point at home to Villarreal on Sunday.

The big games keep coming for Alvaro Cervera's side as they will face Atletico Madrid, Real Sociedad and Barcelona in three of their next five matches, and it will be fascinating to see where the newly-promoted club sit in the table heading into the latter stages of 2020.

Eibar La Liga form: LLLWDW

Cadiz La Liga form: WLWDWD


Team News

Barcelona's Sergi Roberto is challenged by Eibar's Jose Angel in La Liga on May 19, 2019© Reuters

Eibar will again be without both Sergio Cubero and Cote through injury, but Recio and Pedro Bigas could both recover from muscular issues in time for the contest.

On-loan Newcastle United forward Yoshinori Muto is still waiting for his first goal for Eibar, and the 28-year-old might have to accept a spot on the bench once again with Takashi Inui expected to continue alongside Kike in the final third of the field.

Edu Exposito is also pushing for a start, having overcome a knee injury to feature off the bench against Sevilla, although Mendilibar could ultimately decide to select the same XI that won at the Estadio Ramon.

As for Cadiz, Luismi Quezada, Isaac Carcelen and Marcos Mauro are all on the sidelines through injury, but the visitors are otherwise in good shape for Friday's contest.

Anthony Lozano overcame a knock to start alongside Alvaro Negredo in the final third of the field against Villarreal, and the 27-year-old should retain his spot in the XI for this game.

Jairo Izquierdo and Filip Malbasic are options for change in the attacking positions, but Cervera is expected to stick with the side that picked up a point against Unai Emery's side.

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Pozo, Oliveira, Burgos, Arbilla; Rodrigues, Alvarez, Diop, Gil; Kike, Inui

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Akapo, Jimenez, Cala, Espino; Salvi, Mari, Jonsson, Alex; Negredo, Lozano


SM words green background

We say: Eibar 1-1 Cadiz

Both sides will enter Friday's match full of confidence following strong recent runs, and we are finding it very difficult to separate them. There is not an awful lot between the two sets of players in terms of quality, and a draw would not be the worst result in the world for either manager.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Friday's La Liga clash between Eibar and Cadiz?

Eibar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cadiz
0.0%
1
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing de SantanderRacing1911442517837
2Almeria1910543527835
3MirandesMirandes1910452014634
4Real Oviedo199552824432
5ElcheElche198652315830
6Levante188642922730
7Huesca198562719829
8CastellonCastellon198563023729
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon198562721629
10Granada198563025529
11EibarEibar198381819-127
12Real ZaragozaZaragoza197572823526
13Albacete196672528-324
14Malaga1941231518-324
15Burgos196491624-822
16Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo185672422221
17CadizCadiz195682228-621
18CordobaCordoba195682330-721
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