Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38

May 9, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Jong PSV
3 - 1
Jong Utrecht

Uneken (10' pen.), Gilbert (35'), Younis (82' pen.)
Gilbert (70'), Gilbert (70'), Younis (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

van Riel (66')
Kooy (73')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong PSV

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 5-0 Jong PSV
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-0 Dordrecht
Friday, May 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
67.93% ( -0.09)	16.7% ( 0.04)	15.37% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 65.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.03% (

-0.11)

25.97% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.82% (

-0.14)

46.17% (

0.14)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.9% (

-0.04)

7.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.12% (

-0.12)

25.88% (

0.11)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

-0.02)

29.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

-0.03)

65.8% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 67.93%

Jong FC Utrecht 15.37%

Draw 16.7%

Jong PSV	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 67.93%	1-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.7%	1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 15.37%