Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Hradec Kralove win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.