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Crotone logo
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Juventus logo

Crotone
1 - 1
Juventus

Simy (12' pen.)
Cigarini (14'), Reca (67'), Magallan (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morata (21')
Bonucci (11'), Portanova (37'), Kulusevski (45+1')
Chiesa (60')

Preview: Crotone vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday evening's Serie A clash between Crotone and Juventus, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Perennial champions Juventus face struggling Crotone on Saturday evening, in a monumental mismatch on all levels.

Juve's decade-long Serie A monopoly has been built upon the summary dismissal of such weak-handed foes and the promoted side, from Calabria, can only hope to keep the scoreline respectable at Stadio Ezio Scida.


Match preview

Juventus forward Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates scoring against Sampdoria on September 20, 2020© Reuters

The seismic shock caused by Juventus talisman Cristiano Ronaldo's positive COVID-19 test after international duty with Portugal has cast a long shadow over their preparations for Saturday's game.

Such a global news story is likely to test the management skills of callow coach Andrea Pirlo to the maximum. Fortunately, a more straightforward on-pitch task could hardly fall into the club legend's path this weekend.

Hosts Crotone have already shipped 10 goals in their three losses since returning to the top flight last month. Unlike fellow promoted side Benevento, they have been unable to build on their momentum by adding more quality to their ranks.

Talismanic Nigeria frontman Simy was Serie B capocannoniere last season, notching 20 goals in 37 games and shoulders the goalscoring burden once again this season, having scored from the spot in week three.

Though midfield lynchpin Luca Cigarini has seen it all before in a long Serie A career with Atalanta, Parma, Napoli and others, it is the leaky back three behind him which is of most concern for Gli Squali. Unsurprisingly, they have only once avoided defeat to their formidable opponents in their brief Serie A history.

Even in Ronaldo's absence, Juve of course have a plethora of attacking talent in reserve - including exciting deadline day acquisition Federico Chiesa, from Fiorentina. Alvaro Morata has also been playing understudy to some extent since his return to the club last month and may relish the opportunity against limited opposition.

Juventus manager Andrea Pirlo pictured in July 2015© Reuters

Pirlo, before the international interval, saw his new charges awarded a win against Napoli, as the opposition never arrived due to observing the stringent quarantine restrictions in Naples.

Previously they snatched a 2-2 draw with Roma despite going down to 10 men, all of which leaves them sitting fourth after three games.

Now, the stage is set for the next generation of Bianconeri stars to take centre stage. Pirlo's promotion of talents such as Chiesa, Dejan Kulusevski, Rodrigo Bentancur and Weston McKennie - who has also tested positive for COVID-19 upon returning to Italy - mark a departure from a previously more mature make-up.

A period of voluntary isolation is being observed by the entire Juventus squad ahead of the match, to limit any further spread of infection. The consequences of these positive tests will perhaps be realised more keenly when the Old Lady travel to Kiev to open their Champions League campaign next week than they will on Saturday.

Crotone Serie A form: LLL

Juventus Serie A form: WD


Team News

Cristiano Ronaldo pictured for Juventus in September 2020© Reuters

Hosts Crotone have doubts over Libyan midfielder Ahmad Benali and Giuseppe Cuomo. However, journeyman striker Emmanuel Riviere is likely to make the bench in an otherwise settled squad.

Simy leads the line again, with support from his chief supplier Junior Messias.

For the visitors, Cristiano Ronaldo and McKennie - just settling into life at Italy's most successful club - will necessarily both be absent due to positive tests.

Aaron Ramsey, who has featured more often under Pirlo's leadership, is also set to be absent after belatedly withdrawing from international duty with Wales. Paulo Dybala is again doubtful following a bout of gastroenteritis.

Adrien Rabiot's suspension was served in the bizarre non-game against Napoli last time, so the Frenchman is set to at least feature from the bench, if not push for a starting place in midfield. Winger Federico Bernardeschi is nearing full fitness but Matthijs de Ligt and Alex Sandro are still out of action.

Crotone possible starting lineup:
Cordaz; Magallan, Marrone, Golemic; Pereira, Cigarini, Dragus, Molina, Reca; Messias, Simy

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Danilo, Bonucci, Chiellini; Cuadrado, Rabiot, Bentancur, Arthur; Chiesa, Kulusevski, Morata


SM words green background

We say: Crotone 1-4 Juventus

Despite turmoil arising in the wake of Cristiano Ronaldo's enforced quarantine, Juventus have far too much ability in their ranks to come unstuck against humble Crotone.

With the motivation of making up lost ground on Atalanta and AC Milan, Juve will go all out for goals and Crotone's sieve-like defence are in no position to repel them.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.


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Paulo Dybala celebrates scoring for Juventus on March 8, 2020
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