Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Priest win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Priest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.