Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Priest win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Feurs had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Priest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Feurs win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Priest would win this match.