Copa Libertadores
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Fabricio Formiliano
2'
-
A
31'
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Gary Kagelmacher
63'
-
Matias Britos
81'
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Lucho Gonzalez
36'
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Richard
45'
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Ravanelli
78'
Penarol vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result
Penarol
41.93%
Draw
28.01%
Athletico Paranaense
30.06%
Both Teams to Score:
46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5
40.76%
Under 2.5
59.24%
Over 3.5
20.35%
Under 3.5
79.65%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
72.13%
Under 0.5
27.87%
Over 1.5
36.52%
Under 1.5
63.48%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5
64.52%
Under 0.5
35.48%
Over 1.5
27.75%
Under 1.5
72.25%
Score analysis
Penarol
41.93%
Draw
28%
Athletico Paranaense
30.06%
Penarol
1-0
@
12.63%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 41.93%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 41.93%
Draw
1-1
@
13.09%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1
@
10.24%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.06%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.06%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Robson Bambu
43'
-
Leonardo Cittadini
69'
-
Guilherme Bissoli
77'
-
Joao Carlos
79'
-
Marcio Azevedo
90'
-
Gabriel Rojas
11'
-
David Terans
61'
-
Jesus Trindade
69'
-
Christian Bravo
85'
Copa Sudamericana
-
Cristian Rodriguez
62'
-
Leonardo Pereira
7'
-
Pablo Felipe
45'
-
Marcinho
52'
-
Nikao
68'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
92'
Copa Sudamericana
-
Paulo Andre
13'
-
Wanderson
39'
-
Wanderson
45'
-
Marcelo Cirino
60'
-
Pablo Felipe
80'
-
Gabriel Fernandez
13'
-
Gabriel Fernandez
62'
-
Agustin Canobbio
83'