Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Athletico Paranaense

Wilstermann
2 - 3
Athletico PR

Alvarez (11'), Serginho (56')
Orfano (1'), Aponte (38'), Chavez (62'), (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (40' pen.), Christian (74'), Walter (90+1')
Erick (16'), Martins (69')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Jorge Wilstermann and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Jorge WilstermannDrawAthletico Paranaense
49.3%25.46%25.24%
Both teams to score 50.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63%52.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94%74.05%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82%54.18%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32%35.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55%72.45%
Score Analysis
    Jorge Wilstermann 49.3%
    Athletico Paranaense 25.24%
    Draw 25.46%
Jorge WilstermannDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 25.24%