Copa do Brasil
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Francisco Stédile

Caxias vs Guarany de Bage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caxias

All competitions

Guarany de Bage

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caxias win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw has a probability of 28.45% and a win for Guarany de Bage has a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caxias win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.13%) , while for a Guarany de Bage win it is 0-1 (9.34%).

Result

Caxias 51.76% (-0.43)
Draw 28.45% (+0.08)
Guarany de Bage 19.79% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.8% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.69% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 39.31% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 34.52% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 65.48% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 16.38% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 83.62% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 8.37% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.63% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Caxias 33.21% (-0.55)
Draw 48.3% (+0.23)
Guarany de Bage 18.48% (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Caxias 54.49% (-1.04)
No Goal 13.13% (+0.33)
Guarany de Bage 32.38% (+0.73)

Corners

Over 8 54.29% (-2.64)
Equal 8 11.44% (+0.33)
Under 8 34.27% (+2.31)
Over 9 42.95% (-2.72)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.09)
Under 9 45.71% (+2.64)
Over 10.5 32.59% (-2.59)
Under 10.5 67.41% (+2.60)

Caxias Goals

Over 1.5 39.45% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 60.55% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 15.2% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 84.8% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 4.79% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.21% (+0.13)

Guarany de Bage Goals

Over 0.5 49.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 50.72% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 15.56% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 84.44% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 3.73% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.18% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Caxias 51.77%
Draw 28.45%
Guarany de Bage 19.79%
Caxias
1-0 @ 16.85% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.74% (-0.10)
Total : 51.77%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.13% (+0.33)
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 28.45%
Guarany de Bage
0-1 @ 9.34% (+0.41)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 3.09% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.77% (+0.06)
Total : 19.79%