Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.77% and a win for Ponte Preta had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%) , while for a Ponte Preta win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood.