Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Domingos Machado de Lima

Concordia Atletico Clube
2 - 1
Ponte Preta

Rangel dos Santos (45', 45'), Welinton Silva de Andrade (51', 51')
Henrique Marchiori Alves (40'), Henrique Marchiori Alves (40'), Augusto de Lima (43'), Augusto de Lima (43'), (89'), (89'), (90+7'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sidnei de Brito (14', 14')
Barcelos (84'), Barcelos (84'), Murilo (90+6'), Murilo (90+6')
Dias (81'), Dias (81')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Concordia Atletico Clube and Ponte Preta.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: America Mineiro 3-1 Ponte Preta
Wednesday, September 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponte Preta win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Concordia Atletico Clube had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponte Preta win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Concordia Atletico Clube win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Concordia Atletico ClubeDrawPonte Preta
34.63% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.98% (-0.061 -0.06)60.01% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.75% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)80.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Concordia Atletico Clube Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)32.65% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.019000000000002 0.02)69.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Ponte Preta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)31.19% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-0.102 -0.1)67.53% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Concordia Atletico Clube 34.62%
    Ponte Preta 36.89%
    Draw 28.47%
Concordia Atletico ClubeDrawPonte Preta
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 11.86%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.89%

rhs 2.0


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