Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
  • Bryan Borges 48' goal
  • Jonathan Cafu 59' yellowcard
  • Leonardo da Silva Gomes 59' yellowcard
  • Daniel Goncalves Baianinho 74' yellowcard
  • Diego Porfirio 74' yellowcard
  • Diego Porfirio 75' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 85' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Saravia 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Carvalho 65'
  • yellowcard Adailson Gonçalves Sousa 78'
  • yellowcard Talles 85'
  • yellowcard Allan de Almeida 86'
  • yellowcard Talles 86'
  • yellowcard 86'

Ponte Preta vs Guarany de Bage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponte Preta

All competitions

Guarany de Bage

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponte Preta win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 30.14% and a win for Guarany de Bage had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponte Preta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%) , while for a Guarany de Bage win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood.

Result

Ponte Preta 42.18% (+0.03)
Draw 30.14% (-0.02)
Guarany de Bage 27.63% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 61.58% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 38.42% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 35.56% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 64.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.74% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 83.21%
Over 4.5 8.25% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 91.75% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ponte Preta 30.78%
Draw 47.61%
Guarany de Bage 21.61%

Team To Score First

Ponte Preta 50.42% (+0.04)
No Goal 12.59% (-0.01)
Guarany de Bage 36.99% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.03% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.59% (+0.05)
Over 9 41.85% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.18%
Under 9 46.97% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.73% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 68.27% (+0.02)

Ponte Preta Goals

Over 1.5 32.84%
Under 1.5 67.16%
Over 2.5 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.53%
Under 3.5 96.47%

Guarany de Bage Goals

Over 0.5 57.88% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.12% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 22.34% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.66% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.44% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ponte Preta 42.18%
Draw 30.14%
Guarany de Bage 27.62%
Ponte Preta
1-0 @ 14.65% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.08%
2-1 @ 8.02% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.59% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 30.14%
Guarany de Bage
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Total : 27.62%