Copa do Brasil
Mar 11, 2026 12.00am
Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

Ponte Preta vs Guarany de Bage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponte Preta

All competitions

Guarany de Bage

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ponte Preta win with a probability of 39.82%. A draw has a probability of 30.69% and a win for Guarany de Bage has a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponte Preta win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.44%) , while for a Guarany de Bage win it is 0-1 (11.64%).

Result

Ponte Preta 39.82% (+0.03)
Draw 30.69% (-0.08)
Guarany de Bage 29.5% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 39.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 34.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 65.28%
Over 3.5 16.11%
Under 3.5 83.89%
Over 4.5 7.8% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.2% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Ponte Preta 28.32%
Draw 49.25%
Guarany de Bage 22.42%

Team To Score First

Ponte Preta 48.64% (+0.01)
No Goal 13.12% (-0.03)
Guarany de Bage 38.24% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.29%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 35.55%
Over 9 42.29%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 46.71%
Over 10.5 32.29%
Under 10.5 67.71%

Ponte Preta Goals

Over 1.5 30.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.2% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.73%
Under 2.5 89.27%
Over 3.5 3.06%
Under 3.5 96.94%

Guarany de Bage Goals

Over 0.5 59.04%
Under 0.5 40.96%
Over 1.5 23.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.55% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.92% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ponte Preta 39.82%
Draw 30.69%
Guarany de Bage 29.51%
Ponte Preta
1-0 @ 14.31% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.02% (+0.02)
Total : 39.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 13.12% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.62%
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 30.69%
Guarany de Bage
0-1 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 29.51%