Copa del Rey
Oct 28, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla

Poblense vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Poblense

All competitions

Ceuta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poblense win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Ceuta has a probability of 34.36% and a draw has a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poblense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Ceuta win is 0-1 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.98%).

Result

Poblense 38.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Ceuta 34.36% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.6% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.61% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 27.39% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 49.21% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 50.79% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 26.09% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 73.91% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 14.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 85.46% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Poblense 29.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 45.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Ceuta 24.2% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Poblense 48.1% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 8.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Ceuta 43.11% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 42.64% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 46.14% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 32.48% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 10.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 57.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 10.5 23.96% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 76.04% ▼ (-0.16)

Poblense Goals

Over 1.5 37.32% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 62.68% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 14.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 85.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.7% ▼ (-0.07)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 66.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.27% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 85.73% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 4.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.67% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Poblense 38.31%
Draw 27.33%
Ceuta 34.36%
Poblense
1-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.33%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 34.36%