MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 03:21:45| >> :120:12041:12041:
Nicaragua national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 15, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol

Nicaragua
3 - 2
French Guiana

Moreno (54'), Barrera (79'), Fletes (84')
Luis Perez (41'), Salvador Insaurralde Cantero (87'), Fletes (89'), Acevedo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baal (16'), Haabo (62')
Haabo (45+4'), Charlec (64'), Ducan-Darcheville (69'), Thervilus (90+3')
Charlec (68'), Ducan-Darcheville (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Nicaragua and French Guiana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 0-2 Jamaica
Friday, October 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: French Guiana 2-3 Honduras
Thursday, October 10 at 8.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Nicaragua 2-0 French Guiana

While French Guiana have managed to keep their matches close, they do not possess as much attacking depth as the Nicaraguans, which is why we project another defeat for the Caribbean side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for French Guiana had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a French Guiana win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawFrench Guiana
57.21% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 24.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 18.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.44% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.192 -0.19)53.69% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.165 -0.16)75.18% (0.169 0.17)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)18.6% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (-0.136 -0.14)49.89% (0.14 0.14)
French Guiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.06% (-0.136 -0.14)42.94% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (-0.114 -0.11)79.24% (0.11800000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 57.2%
    French Guiana 18.71%
    Draw 24.07%
NicaraguaDrawFrench Guiana
1-0 @ 13.43% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.71%

How you voted: Nicaragua vs French Guiana

Nicaragua
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
French Guiana
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
League A
French Guiana
0-1
Nicaragua

Lescot (12'), Abelinti (45+2'), Marmot (77')
Talavera (90+5')
Belli Moldskred (70'), Barrera (70'), Reyes (90')
rhs 2.0
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