Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Charlie Caton 55'
  • goal Charlie Caton 59'
  • goal Josh Woods 84'

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Altrincham

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 7.30pm
Bradford 1 - 0 Accrington

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 39.93% (+0.08)
Draw 26.55% (-0.02)
Accrington Stanley 33.52% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.86% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04%
Under 1.5 27.96%
Over 2.5 48.65% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 51.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.22% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.78% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.31% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.69% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Chorley 29.98% (+0.02)
Draw 43.2%
Accrington Stanley 26.82% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Chorley 46.75% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.96% (-0.01)
Accrington Stanley 44.29% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.64% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.21%
Under 8 33.15% (+0.04)
Over 9 42.5% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 45.36% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.48% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.52% (+0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 38.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.6% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.43% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.39% (-0.02)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 65.53% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.47% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 32.9% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.1% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 13.14% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 39.92%
Draw 26.57%
Accrington Stanley 33.51%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.6% (+0.01)
Total : 39.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.57%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.1% (-0.03)
Total : 33.51%