Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Youth Island would win this match.