Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.