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Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Brighton logo

Chelsea
1 - 1
Brighton

Lukaku (28')
Rudiger (41'), Kovacic (58'), Hudson-Odoi (64'), Mount (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Welbeck (90+1')
Bissouma (81')

Preview: Chelsea vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chelsea will aim to keep the pressure on title-chasing Liverpool and Manchester City when they welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Stamford Bridge on Wednesday.

The Blues marched to a 3-1 triumph over Aston Villa on Boxing Day, while Graham Potter's side eased to a 2-0 win over Brentford.


Match preview

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel frustrated with more injury problems during the game against Aston Villa on December 26, 2021.© Reuters

Chelsea's Boxing Day success at Villa came at quite the cost, with Thomas Tuchel joining his fellow top-flight managers in bemoaning the hectic schedule as two of his experienced stalwarts once again entered the treatment room.

Two penalties from Jorginho either side of Romelu Lukaku's header ultimately cancelled out Reece James's own goal to propel Chelsea to a vital three points at Villa Park, but witnessing Thiago Silva and N'Golo Kante being forced off was not a pleasant sight for the Blues boss.

However, having returned to winning ways in the Premier League, Chelsea have moved level on points with second-placed Liverpool - who have played a game fewer - but Man City are still riding off into the sunset at the top of the pile.

Even with their enviable squad depth, it has been a struggle for this depleted Chelsea side to truly assert their dominance in the top flight - winning just two of their last five in the division - while three of their last four home encounters have ended with the spoils shared.

Furthermore, not since the 7-0 thumping of Norwich City back in October have Chelsea kept a Premier League clean sheet on home soil, and a reinvigorated Brighton outfit ought to feel confident of prolonging that streak in midweek.

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Prior to the visit of Thomas Frank's Brentford, Brighton's winless run stood at 12 games in all competitions and 11 in the Premier League, with the Seagulls seeing their wings clipped after such a positive start to proceedings.

The Amex faithful had been restless for a while, but the home crowd finally had something to cheer as their side came up trumps in a 2-0 Boxing Day success over the Bees, with Leandro Trossard and Neal Maupay both scoring eye-catching goals.

Brighton fans were forced to wait over three months for another Premier League victory - one which has seen the South Coast outfit move back into the top half of the table - but ending their dismal streak on the road will be a whole different kettle of fish.

While Chelsea have developed an affinity for one-pointers on home soil, five of Brighton's last six away encounters in the top flight have seen the spoils shared, and the visitors have prevailed in just two of their last 13 on the road in the top flight.

Ironically, Chelsea and Brighton played out a goalless stalemate when the sides met amid the European Super League debacle back in April, but the Seagulls are without a goal in six away league matches versus the European champions.

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Chelsea duo Silva and Kante are sure to miss out on Wednesday following their Boxing Day injuries, with the pair joining long-term absentee Ben Chilwell on the sidelines.

There is slight hope that Ruben Loftus-Cheek may make a timely return to the squad, but COVID-affected pair Kai Havertz and Timo Werner both remain doubtful.

In brighter news, Mateo Kovacic came through another substitute outing unscathed at the weekend, and the Croatian midfielder could now be deemed ready for a start.

As for Brighton, Leandro Trossard was hooked at half time in the Brentford win after opening the scoring in style, with Potter admitting that the Belgian had felt tightness in his hamstring.

The visitors are already without Jeremy Sarmiento, Lewis Dunk and Steven Alzate for the Chelsea contest, while Joel Veltman is also a doubt, but Yves Bissouma is back from a ban.

The Mali international will expect to come straight back into the engine room this week, but it would be harsh to see Enock Mwepu dropped, so Jakub Moder could make way instead.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Christensen, Rudiger; James, Jorginho, Kovacic, Alonso; Ziyech, Mount; Lukaku

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Lamptey, Webster, Burn, Cucurella; Bissouma, Lallana, Mwepu; Mac Allister; Welbeck, Maupay


SM words green background

We say: Chelsea 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton certainly are a tough nut to crack away from home, and the Seagulls may feel that Wednesday provides the prime opportunity to end their barren scoreless run in this fixture.

Tuchel's side have been far from convincing at Stamford Bridge in recent weeks and continue to be bedevilled by fitness woes, but the bountiful options for change should help to settle a tight contest in Chelsea's favour.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 13.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chelsea vs Brighton

Chelsea
77.8%
Draw
14.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
8.0%
311
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Brighton & Hove Albion's Lewis Dunk pictured on November 27, 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
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9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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