Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.