Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Lee Buchanan 28' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Wiles 40'
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 86'

Derby County vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Sheff Weds 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Colin Kazim-Richards

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Rotherham 1 - 2 Barnsley
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Michael Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result

Derby County 35.04%
Draw 27.85%
Rotherham United 37.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.27%
Under 2.5 57.73%
Over 3.5 21.53%
Under 3.5 78.47%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 68.79%
Under 0.5 31.21%
Over 1.5 32.45%
Under 1.5 67.55%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 70.08%
Under 0.5 29.92%
Over 1.5 33.98%
Under 1.5 66.02%

Score analysis

Derby County 35.04%
Draw 27.85%
Rotherham United 37.1%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 7.64%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.85%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 37.1%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Martyn Waghorn 13' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 39' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 42' goal
  • Mason Mount 48' goal
  • Duane Homes 62' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 71' goal
  • goal Richard Wood 53'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 92'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium (Rotherham, South Yorkshire)
  • Richard Wood 48' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 59' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning 63' goal
  • Joe Mattock 67' yellowcard
  • Jon Taylor 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 58'
  • redcard Tom Lawrence 58'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 60'
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 63'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 87'
Championship
May 7, 2017 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Frecklington 66' goal
  • goal Tom Ince 84'
Championship
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tom Ince 15' goal
  • Darren Bent 19' goal
  • Tom Ince 63' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Adeyemi 55'
  • yellowcard Peter Odemwingie 79'
Championship
Mar 12, 2016 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Mattock 6' yellowcard
  • Danny Ward 83' goal
  • Leon Best 85' goal
  • Leon Best 91' goal
  • goal Tom Ince 55'
  • goal Chris Martin 63'
  • goal Tom Ince 65'
Championship
Oct 31, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andreas Weimann 7' goal
  • George Thorne 33' yellowcard
  • Jacob Butterfield 45' goal
  • Richard Keogh 76' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Smallwood 26'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 49'