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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 28, 2020 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Zenit St Petersburg

Dortmund
2 - 0
Zenit

Sancho (78' pen.), Braut Haaland (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kuzyaev (25'), Karavayev (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's match between Borussia Dortmund and Zenit St Petersburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Zenit St Petersburg win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawZenit St Petersburg
58.07%22.99%18.94%
Both teams to score 49.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86%49.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79%71.2%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36%16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52%46.47%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97%40.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32%76.67%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.07%
    Zenit St Petersburg 18.94%
    Draw 22.99%
Borussia DortmundDrawZenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.03%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 58.07%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.1%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.94%