Champions League
Oct 28, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Jadon Sancho 78' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Daler Kuzyaev 25'
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Karavayev 78'

Borussia Dortmund vs Zenit St Petersburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 20, 2020 8.00pm
Lazio 3 - 1 Dortmund

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 20, 2020 5.55pm
Zenit 1 - 2 Brugge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Zenit St Petersburg win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 58.07%
Draw 22.99%
Zenit St Petersburg 18.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.86%
Under 2.5 49.13%
Over 3.5 28.79%
Under 3.5 71.2%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 83.36%
Under 0.5 16.63%
Over 1.5 53.52%
Under 1.5 46.47%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.97%
Under 0.5 40.02%
Over 1.5 23.32%
Under 1.5 76.67%

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 58.07%
Draw 22.99%
Zenit St Petersburg 18.94%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.86%
4-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.99%
Zenit St Petersburg
0-1 @ 6.1%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.94%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 19, 2014 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 18' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kehl 38' goal
  • Sebastian Kehl 55' yellowcard
  • Milos Jojic 75' yellowcard
  • goal Hulk 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lombaerts 23'
  • goal Jose Rondon 73'
Champions League
Feb 25, 2014 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Aleksandr Anyukov 54' yellowcard
  • Oleg Shatov 57' goal
  • Hulk 69' goal
  • Viktor Faizulin 81' yellowcard
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 4'
  • goal Marco Reus 5'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 61'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Piszczek 69'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 71'