Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.