Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.33% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.