Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cayman Islands in this match.