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World Cup

Cayman Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 3am UK
Truman Bodden Stadium
Antigua and Barbuda national football team

Cayman Islands
1 - 0
Antigua

Campbell (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Drew (90+8')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Cayman Islands and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cayman Islands

All competitions
Last Game: Cayman Islands 0-4 Moldova
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Cuba vs. Cayman Islands
Tuesday, June 11 at 8.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Antigua 1-1 Bermuda
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Dominica vs. Antigua
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 3-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cayman Islands would win this match.

Result
Cayman IslandsDrawAntigua and Barbuda
46.85% (-1.574 -1.57)20.47% (-0.02 -0.02)32.68% (1.592 1.59)
Both teams to score 74% (0.968 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.82% (0.90899999999999 0.91)24.17% (-0.911 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.16% (1.195 1.19)43.83% (-1.197 -1.2)
Cayman Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)11.4% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.84% (-0.244 -0.24)36.15% (0.241 0.24)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (1.197 1.2)16.47% (-1.199 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82% (2.119 2.12)46.17% (-2.119 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Cayman Islands 46.85%
    Antigua and Barbuda 32.68%
    Draw 20.47%
Cayman IslandsDrawAntigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 5.21% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.319 -0.32)
1-0 @ 4.08% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.246 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-3 @ 1.7% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 7.35% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 7.2% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 3.13% (0.139 0.14)
0-0 @ 1.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.33% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.105 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.161 0.16)
3-4 @ 1.41% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 32.68%