Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 3-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cayman Islands would win this match.