MX23RW : Friday, March 29 14:56:55| >> :600:98368:98368:
[monks data]
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
QPR logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
QPR

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (37')
Dickie (47'), Adomah (85')

Preview: Cardiff City vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cardiff City will be looking to build on their remarkable comeback at Stoke City when they play host to Queens Park Rangers on Wednesday evening.

The Bluebirds recovered from three goals down in the space of five minutes to draw 3-3 on Saturday, but they are still in relegation trouble ahead of the visit of eighth-place QPR.


Match preview

Cardiff City's Ruben Colwill celebrates scoring against Nottingham Forest on September 12, 2021© Reuters

What made Cardiff's recovery at Stoke all the more incredible is the fact that they had entered the game on an eight-game losing run, failing to score in seven of those.

Their winless run may still span close to two months, and they are still only three points above the dropzone, but Saturday's result may just prove to be a turning point for City.

Steve Morison oversaw the six-goal draw at the bet365 Stadium and will remain in charge for the visit of QPR as the Welsh side continue their search for Mick McCarthy's successor.

The ex-Wales international may yet be in the running for the job himself, and he will strengthen his job prospects should he inspire Cardiff to a first home win since August 21.

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) manager Mark Warburton pictured on September 24, 2021© Reuters

QPR are hardly the best of travellers, having lost their last four away games after a previous run of five straight wins and a draw outside of the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium.

The Rs enter the midweek round of fixtures two points outside the playoffs after going two games without a victory.

Mark Warburton's men followed up a 2-1 loss at Peterborough United with a 1-1 draw at home to Nottingham Forest, the visitors scoring a 91st-minute leveller in that one.

However, QPR have lost just one of their last 12 league games with Cardiff and are seeking back-to-back away wins in this fixture for the first time since October 1932.

A win would help lift the mood around the West London club after a disappointing week, though the same is of course true for their lowly opponents.

Cardiff City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Queens Park Rangers Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Queens Park Rangers form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Cardiff City's Curtis Nelson reacts after scoring an own goal on September 28, 2021© Reuters

As is often the case when someone new takes over - albeit on an interim basis - Morison made mass changes for his first game in charge.

Curtis Nelson was restored in the heart of defence, while Perry Ng and Ryan Giles were selected at wing-back. There was also a first senior start for young Kieron Evans.

Morison will not make as many changes for this match, though Mark Harris is an option to come in after inspiring the three-goal comeback at Stoke.

Elsewhere, Marlon Pack has served a suspension and could slot back into central midfield, which would in turn see Leandro Bacuna drop back to the bench.

As for the visitors, Warburton recalled skipper Stefan Johansen, Albert Adomah, Sam McCallum and Andre Dozzell against Forest with mixed success.

The Rs were dealt a couple of injury blows in that most recent match as McCallum and Jordy de Wijs left the field in the first half.

Jimmy Dunne and Moses Odubajo are the most likely options to slot into the side for this trip to South Wales should neither recover in time.

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Morrison, Flint, Nelson; Ng, Vaulks, Pack, Giles; Colwill, Harris; Moore

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Dieng; Dickie, Dunne, Barbet; Adomah, Dozzell, Johansen, Odubajo; Chair, Willock; Dykes


SM words green background

We say: Cardiff City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Both teams are seeking a victory on Wednesday for different reasons, with Cardiff aiming to move clear of the relegation zone and QPR in touching distance of the playoffs.

Cardiff have lost five in a row at home, while QPR have lost four on the spin on their travels, so this may be a case of the sides cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cardiff vs QPR

Cardiff City
23.2%
Draw
28.4%
Queens Park Rangers
48.4%
95
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Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in August 2020
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