Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 32.28% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.09%) , while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.