CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 4, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Raja Casablanca
1 - 0
Mamelodi Sundowns

Benamar (45+2')
Zrida (6'), Bikoro (20'), Balde (50'), Najjari (51'), Zila (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ribeiro Costa (6'), Rayners (65')
Jurry Aubaas (40'), Mudau (90+5')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Raja Casablanca and Mamelodi Sundowns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raja Casablanca

Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Raja Casablanca
Sunday, December 15 at 1pm in CAF Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns

Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Raja Casablanca
Sunday, December 15 at 1pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 44.07%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Raja Casablanca had a probability of 27.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Raja Casablanca win it was 1-0 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Raja Casablanca	Draw	Mamelodi Sundowns
27.95% ( -0.72)	27.99% ( -0.07)	44.07% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 45.53% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.01% (

-0.08)

59.99% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.77% (

-0.06)

80.23% (

0.06)

Raja Casablanca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

-0.62)

37.56% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66% (

-0.62)

74.34% (

0.62)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.91% (

0.38)

27.08% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

0.49)

62.46% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Raja Casablanca 27.95%

Mamelodi Sundowns 44.06%

Draw 27.98%

Raja Casablanca	Draw	Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.95%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.06%