Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 44.07%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Raja Casablanca had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Raja Casablanca win it was 1-0 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.