Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raja Casablanca win with a probability of 78.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Samartex had a probability of 5.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raja Casablanca win was 0-2 with a probability of 18.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (17.68%) and 0-3 (13.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.38%), while for a Samartex win it was 1-0 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.