CAF Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Loftus Versfeld Stadium

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 0
Raja Casablanca

Rayners (65')
Lunga (70'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ennaffati (71'), Arrassi (75'), Boulacsout (87')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Mamelodi Sundowns and Raja Casablanca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: FAR Rabat 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns
Saturday, December 7 at 7pm in CAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Raja Casablanca

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maniema Union 1-1 Raja Casablanca
Saturday, December 7 at 1pm in CAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Raja Casablanca had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Raja Casablanca win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mamelodi Sundowns in this match.

Result
Mamelodi SundownsDrawRaja Casablanca
55.65% (0.55 0.55)24.69% (-0.352 -0.35)19.66% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (1.05 1.05)54.76% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.864 0.86)76.07% (-0.864 -0.86)
Mamelodi Sundowns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (0.627 0.63)19.61% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (1.015 1.02)51.56% (-1.015 -1.02)
Raja Casablanca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (0.389 0.39)42.48% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (0.333 0.33)78.85% (-0.333 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Mamelodi Sundowns 55.64%
    Raja Casablanca 19.66%
    Draw 24.68%
Mamelodi SundownsDrawRaja Casablanca
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 6% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.66%