CAF Champions League
Apr 1, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Loftus Versfeld Stadium
  • Teboho Mokoena 22' yellowcard
  • Peter Shalulile 54' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elias Mokwana 66'
  • yellowcard Youcef Belaili 90'+3'

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Esperance Tunis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions

Esperance Tunis

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mamelodi Sundowns in this match.

Result

Mamelodi Sundowns 52.96% (-0.21)
Draw 26.49% (+0.30)
Esperance Tunis 20.56% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.75% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.96% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 60.04% (+1.07)
Over 3.5 19.73% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 80.27% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 8.18% (-0.47)
Under 4.5 91.82% (+0.47)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 22.87% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 43.39% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 56.61% (+0.81)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 55.43% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 44.57% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 19.41% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 80.59% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns 52.95%
Draw 26.48%
Esperance Tunis 20.56%
Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0 @ 15.03% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 11.09% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.19% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.48%
Esperance Tunis
0-1 @ 8.24% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 20.56%