CAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 1, 2025 at 2pm UK

Loftus Versfeld Stadium

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 0
ES Tunis

(Mamelodi Sundowns win 1-0 on aggregate)

Shalulile (54')
Mokoena (22'), (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mokwana (66'), Belaili (90+3')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Mamelodi Sundowns and Esperance Tunis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 FAR Rabat
Sunday, January 19 at 4pm in CAF Champions League

Esperance Tunis

Last Game: ES Tunis 4-1 Sagrada EsperanÃ§a
Saturday, January 18 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mamelodi Sundowns in this match.

Result
Mamelodi Sundowns	Draw	Esperance Tunis
52.96% ( -0.21)	26.49% ( 0.3)	20.56% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.75% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.96% (

-1.06)

60.04% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73% (

-0.81)

80.27% (

0.82)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

-0.54)

22.87% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.39% (

-0.8)

56.61% (

0.81)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-0.71)

44.57% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.58)

80.59% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns 52.95%

Esperance Tunis 20.56%

Draw 26.48%

Mamelodi Sundowns	Draw	Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.56%