CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote

Maniema Union
1 - 2
Mamelodi Sundowns

Kitambala Bola (39')
Basiala Amongo (59'), Balako Panzi (90+4'), Simete (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shalulile (82'), Moanda Kia Moanda (90+5' og.)
Allende (43')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Maniema Union and Mamelodi Sundowns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maniema Union

Last Game: FAR Rabat 2-0 Maniema Union
Saturday, January 4 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns

Last Game: Raja Casablanca 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns
Saturday, January 4 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Maniema Union had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Maniema Union win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.

Result
Maniema Union	Draw	Mamelodi Sundowns
16.77% ( 0.42)	23.57% ( 0.39)	59.65% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.55% (

-0.82)

54.45% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.18% (

-0.69)

75.81% (

0.69)

Maniema Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.24% (

0.07)

45.76% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.47% (

0.05)

81.53% (

-0.05)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.59)

17.99% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-1.02)

48.84% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Maniema Union 16.77%

Mamelodi Sundowns 59.65%

Draw 23.56%

Maniema Union	Draw	Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 16.77%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 14.12% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 12.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 59.65%