Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Maniema Union had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Maniema Union win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.