CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2025 at 7pm UK

ES Tunis
4 - 1
Sagrada Esperança

Jebri (17', 55', 59'), Sasse (23')
Jebri (44'), Ben Ali (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dala Sebastiao (45+2')
Ngalula da Cunha (23')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Esperance Tunis and Sagrada EsperanÃ§a.

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

Last Game: Djoliba 0-1 ES Tunis
Sunday, January 12 at 4pm in CAF Champions League

Sagrada EsperanÃ§a

Last Game: Sagrada EsperanÃ§a 0-1 Pyramids FC
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sagrada EsperanÃ§a had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (13.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.88%), while for a Sagrada EsperanÃ§a win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.

Result
Esperance Tunis	Draw	Sagrada EsperanÃ§a
80.48% ( -1.87)	14.59% ( 1.19)	4.93% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 29.19% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

-1.8)

49.95% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

-1.63)

71.94% (

1.63)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

-0.94)

10.2% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.51% (

-2.18)

33.49% (

2.18)

Sagrada EsperanÃ§a Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.51% (

1.52)

67.49% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.97% (

0.58)

94.03% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Esperance Tunis 80.46%

Sagrada EsperanÃ§a 4.93%

Draw 14.59%

Esperance Tunis	Draw	Sagrada EsperanÃ§a
2-0 @ 17.93% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.7) 4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 80.46%	0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.49) 1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.59%	0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.17) Other @ 1% Total : 4.93%