CAF Champions League
Jan 18, 2025 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Achref Jebri 17' goal
  • Yan Sasse 23' goal
  • Achref Jebri 44' yellowcard
  • Achref Jebri 55' goal
  • Achref Jebri 59' goal
  • Mohamed Ben Ali 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Ngalula da Cunha 23'
  • goal Felisberto Dala Sebastiao 45'+2'

Esperance Tunis vs Sagrada Esperança - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 12, 2025 4.00pm
Djoliba 0 - 1 ES Tunis

Sagrada Esperança

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 4.00pm
Sagrada Esperança 0 - 1 Pyramids FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sagrada Esperança had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (13.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.88%), while for a Sagrada Esperança win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.

Result

Esperance Tunis 80.48% (-1.88)
Draw 14.59% (+1.19)
Sagrada Esperança 4.93% (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.19% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.04% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 49.95% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 28.06% (-1.64)
Under 3.5 71.94% (+1.64)
Over 4.5 13.35% (-1.11)
Under 4.5 86.65% (+1.11)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 89.8% (-0.94)
Under 0.5 10.2% (+0.94)
Over 1.5 66.51% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 33.49% (+2.19)

Sagrada Esperança Goals

Over 0.5 32.51% (+1.53)
Under 0.5 67.49% (-1.53)
Over 1.5 5.97% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 94.03% (-0.59)

Score analysis

Esperance Tunis 80.46%
Draw 14.59%
Sagrada Esperança 4.93%
Esperance Tunis
2-0 @ 17.93% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 15.71% (+0.50)
3-0 @ 13.64% (-0.70)
4-0 @ 7.79% (-0.75)
2-1 @ 7.05% (+0.35)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.56% (-0.51)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.35% (-0.26)
3-2 @ 1.06% (-97.65)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 80.46%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.88% (+0.50)
1-1 @ 6.18% (+0.54)
2-2 @ 1.39% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.59%
Sagrada Esperança
0-1 @ 2.71% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 1.22% (+0.17)
Other @ 1%
Total : 4.93%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Dec 6, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 11 de Novembro
  • Sada Diallo 40' yellowcard
  • Jose Fernandes Mbuta 64' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bunga Tunga Barbosa 83' yellowcard
  • Batomene Manuel Afonso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Houssem Teka 88'
  • yellowcard Hamza Jelassi 90'+2'