CAF Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud Sport City Stadium

ES Tunis
4 - 0
Djoliba

Bouchniba (4'), Mokwana (40'), Bouguerra (76'), Maacha (90+5')
Ben Mohamed (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Armel Kader Glougbe (59'), Sogoba (72'), Keita (86')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Esperance Tunis and Djoliba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

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Last Game: ES Tunis 8-0 Dekedaha
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in CAF Champions League
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Djoliba

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Last Game: ASKO de Kara 0-1 Djoliba
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 76.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Djoliba had a probability of 6.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.69%) and 3-0 (12.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.67%), while for a Djoliba win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.

Result
Esperance TunisDrawDjoliba
76.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)17.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)6.21% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 28.92% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)55.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)76.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)39.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Djoliba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.23% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.77% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.26% (-0.0189 -0.02)93.74% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Esperance Tunis 76.34%
    Djoliba 6.21%
    Draw 17.44%
Esperance TunisDrawDjoliba
2-0 @ 18.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 17.69% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 76.34%
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.44%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 6.21%