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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
Wolves logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Wolves

Vydra (62')
Vydra (33'), Taylor (77'), Barnes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (90+4')

Preview: Burnley vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burnley will be looking to give their Premier League survival hopes another huge boost when they welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to Turf Moor on Sunday afternoon.

The Clarets will enter the contest off the back of a 2-0 win over Southampton on Thursday, while Wolves have not been in league action since April 8, when they lost 1-0 to Newcastle United.


Match preview

Burnley caretaker manager Mike Jackson and academy director Paul Jenkins pictured on April 17, 2022© Reuters

Sean Dyche's departure from Burnley caused shockwaves across the Premier League, but the response from the Clarets since the change of management has been impressive, picking up a point at West Ham United last weekend before recording a 2-0 victory over Southampton on Thursday night.

Connor Roberts and Nathan Collins scored the goals against the Saints, as Mike Jackson enjoyed his first victory since taking charge of the first team on a caretaker basis.

The result has left Burnley in 18th spot in the table, now just one point behind 17th-placed Everton and five behind 16th-placed Leeds United; Everton have a match in hand, but the Toffees will take on title-challenging Liverpool in the Merseyside derby on Sunday afternoon.

There is still a lot of work to do for the Clarets if they are to avoid relegation, but another positive result here would lead them nicely into next weekend's trip to 19th-placed Watford, while they also have winnable matches against Aston Villa, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United to come.

Burnley have picked up 18 points from their 16 league matches at Turf Moor this season, though, which is one of the poorer home records in the division, and they will be welcoming a Wolves outfit with the fifth-best away record, having collected 26 points from their 16 games on their travels.

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Bruno Lage reacts on April 8, 2022© Reuters

Wolves, meanwhile, have not actually been in action since April 8, when they suffered a 1-0 defeat at Newcastle, so the visitors will be comfortably the fresher of the two teams entering this match.

The reverse at St James' Park last time out was a setback for Bruno Lage's side, with a top-four spot now seemingly beyond reach, but they are only three points behind seventh-placed West Ham United with a game in hand and just five points behind sixth-placed Manchester United, also with a match spare.

Wolves finished 13th last season, so a top-seven spot would certainly be seen as a big step in the right direction, and they have won 15 league games this season, which is the same as Man United.

Lage's team, as mentioned, have impressed on their travels this term, picking up 26 points from 16 matches, with only Manchester City (39), Chelsea (36) and Liverpool (34) collecting more points away from home.

Wolves are winless in their last six Premier League games against Burnley, though, suffering three defeats in the process, including a 2-1 defeat at Turf Moor in the corresponding fixture last season.

Burnley Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers' Ruben Neves during the match on December 11, 2021© Reuters

Burnley will again be without the services of Erik Pieters, Ben Mee, Ashley Westwood and Johann Berg Gudmundsson for Sunday's Premier League clash with Wolves.

The Clarets did not pick up any fresh issues against Southampton, though, so it would not be a surprise to see the same XI take to the field despite the quick turnaround.

Indeed, Jay Rodriguez should again feature alongside Wout Weghorst in the final third of the field, with Dwight McNeil and Maxwel Cornet playing in the wide areas for the relegation-threatened outfit.

As for Wolves, Ruben Neves, Daniel Podence and Max Kilman remain on the sidelines through injury, but Raul Jimenez is back from a suspension and should lead the attack.

Nelson Semedo and Pedro Neto will be in the squad, with the latter expected to start, while Kilman's absence will open the door for Romain Saiss to feature in a back three.

Head coach Lage has decisions to make in the final third of the field, and it seems likely that Neto will play alongside Jimenez and Francisco Trincao, with Fabio Silva and Hwang Hee-chan set to drop out.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Roberts, Collins, Tarkowski, Taylor; McNeil, Brownhill, Cork, Cornet; Weghorst, Rodriguez

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Sa; Boly, Coady, Saiss; Jonny, Dendoncker, Moutinho, Marcal; Neto, Jimenez, Trincao


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Burnley will be flying after their win over Southampton, but Wolves will be the much fresher of the two teams heading into this contest. The visitors need the points to boost their European hopes, but we believe that the two sides could ultimately cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Burnley vs Wolves

Burnley
37.7%
Draw
17.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
45.0%
151
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8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
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12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
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18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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