EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 48' goal
  • Zian Flemming 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 24'
  • goal Callum Roberts 42'
  • yellowcard Darius Lipsiuc 73'
  • yellowcard Jack Evans 90'+2'
  • yellowcard James Belshaw 90'+3'

Burnley vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Notts County

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 36.68%
Draw 23.74% (+0.01)
Notts County 39.58% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.06% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.93%
Under 2.5 46.07%
Over 3.5 31.35%
Under 3.5 68.65%
Over 4.5 18.39%
Under 4.5 81.61%

First Half Winner

Burnley 29.28% (+0.02)
Draw 40.34% (-0.02)
Notts County 30.38% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Burnley 42.76%
No Goal 6.34% (-0.01)
Notts County 50.9% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.89%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 32.53% (-0.01)
Over 9 44.32% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.11%
Over 10.5 33.68% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.32% (-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 37.67%
Under 1.5 62.33%
Over 2.5 16.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.22% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.43%
Under 1.5 59.57%
Over 2.5 17.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.34%
Under 3.5 93.66%

Score analysis

Burnley 36.68%
Draw 23.74%
Notts County 39.58%
Burnley
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 36.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 23.74%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.55%
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.26%
Total : 39.58%