/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fkollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
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Max Finkgrafe
74'
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Lukas Kubler
51'
FC Koln vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F07%2Fchristian-streich.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result
FC Koln
43.72%
▲
(+0.81)
Draw
24.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Freiburg
31.78%
▼
(-0.91)
Both Teams to Score:
58.3%
▼
(-0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.58%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 2.5
44.42%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 3.5
33.21%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 3.5
66.79%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 4.5
16.94%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 4.5
83.05%
▲
(+0.58)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5
79.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
20.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
47.12%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
52.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
73.27%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 0.5
26.73%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 1.5
38.01%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 1.5
61.99%
▲
(+1.28)
Score analysis
FC Koln
43.72%
Draw
24.49%
Freiburg
31.78%
FC Koln
2-1
@
9.09%
▲
(+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.72%
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.72%
Draw
1-1
@
11.44%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.49%
Freiburg
1-2
@
7.55%
▼
(-0.15)
0-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.78%
0-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.78%
Julian Chabot
62'