Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2026 2.30pm
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Elversberg vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elversberg

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 1 Elversberg
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Maurice Krattenmacher

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Yuito Suzuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elversberg win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.65% and a draw has a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 1-2 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result

Elversberg 43.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 23.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Freiburg 32.65% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.91% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 15.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 65.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 34.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 43.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 56.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 27.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 72.58% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Elversberg 34.79%
Draw 39.12%
Freiburg 26.09%

Team To Score First

Elversberg 55.64% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Freiburg 40.67%

Corners

Over 8 73.39%
Equal 8 9.35%
Under 8 17.26%
Over 9 62.48%
Equal 9 10.91%
Under 9 26.61%
Over 10.5 50.9%
Under 10.5 49.1%

Elversberg Goals

Over 1.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 26.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 89.03% ▲ (+0.05)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 29.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 41.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 58.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Elversberg 43.92%
Draw 23.37%
Freiburg 32.64%
Elversberg
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.36%
2-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.37%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.64%