Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
5 - 2
FC Koln

Friedrich (27'), Bensebaini (45+2' pen., 76'), Stindl (47'), Thuram (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kainz (31' pen.), Huseinbasic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Partizan
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	FC Koln
40.08% ( 0.24)	23.49% ( -0.03)	36.43% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 63.33% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.59% (

0.11)

38.41% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

0.12)

60.7% (

-0.12)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

0.16)

19.54% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

0.26)

51.45% (

-0.26)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.71% (

-0.06)

21.28% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.78% (

-0.09)

54.21% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 40.08%

FC Koln 36.43%

Draw 23.48%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.08%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.43%