Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Lorent Tolaj 58' goal
  • Lorent Tolaj 74' goal
  • Jed Wallace 78' goal
  • goal Aaron Drinan 16'

Bristol City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 12.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 0 Newport

Swindon Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 6.00pm
Woking 0 - 0 Swindon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 46.59% (+0.06)
Draw 25.99% (-0.04)
Swindon Town 27.42% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.67% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.25% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.87% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 68.13% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.45% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.55% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 36.19% (+0.01)
Draw 41.59% (-0.03)
Swindon Town 22.22% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 55.23% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.99% (-0.01)
Swindon Town 37.78% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.8% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.71% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.49% (+0.04)
Over 9 53.24% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.56% (-0.01)
Under 9 35.2% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 41.83% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 58.17% (+0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 47.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.71% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.78% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.22% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.74% (-0.03)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.65% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.03% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.97% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.41% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol City 46.59%
Draw 25.99%
Swindon Town 27.42%
Bristol City
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 8.09% (+0.02)
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.99%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.42% (+0.01)
Total : 27.42%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 18, 2023 12.30pm
7
1
HT : 1 1
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Sam Bell 17' goal
  • Sam Bell 56' goal
  • Mark Sykes 77' goal
  • Tommy Conway 88' goal
  • Tommy Conway 92' goal
  • Tommy Conway 99' goal
  • Tommy Conway 117' goal
  • goal Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 22'
League One
Apr 7, 2015 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kieran Agard 36' goal
  • Kieran Agard 57' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Turnbull 10'
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 42'
  • yellowcard Raphael Branco 79'
League One
Nov 15, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 44' yellowcard
  • Louis Thompson 58' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 78' goal
  • redcard Wade Elliott 3'
  • yellowcard Scott Wagstaff 5'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wilbraham 30'
League One
Mar 15, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Wagstaff 38' yellowcard
  • Wade Elliot 55' yellowcard
  • Derrick Williams 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 2'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thompson 27'
  • redcard Alex Pritchard 54'
  • yellowcard Jay McEveley 63'
League One
Sep 21, 2013 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Nicky Ajose 21' goal
  • Nicky Ajose 43' goal
  • Louis Thompson 60' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 82' yellowcard
  • Nile Ranger 87' goal
  • Yaser Kasim 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wagstaff 3'
  • goal Aden Flint 9'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 36'
League One
Apr 29, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Brown 53' yellowcard
  • Dave Cotterill 68' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 47'
  • goal Aaron Brown 49'
  • yellowcard Aaron Brown 74'