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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
0 - 0
Guimaraes


Silva (32'), Elmusrati (37')
FT

Almeida (24'), Rochinha (27'), Soares (52'), Trmal (85'), Mumin (90+2')

Preview: Braga vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga will be looking to build on last week's thrilling 3-2 victory at Moreirense when they welcome Vitoria de Guimaraes to the Braga Municipal on Sunday.

The visitors will head into the game with the aim of getting one over their hosts, who are currently on a five-game winning streak in this fixture.


Match preview

Braga's Paulinho celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Europa League on November 26, 2020© Reuters

Taca de Portugal champions Braga returned to winning ways last time out when they withstood a late comeback scare to claim a 3-2 victory over Moreirense.

In a frenetic and action-packed contest, Moreirense looked set to pick up a point when quickfire goals from Steven Vitoria and Paulinho Mota in the final 10 minutes of normal time levelled the scores after Fabio Martins and Iuri Medeiros had put Braga two goals up, but Ricardo Horta popped up in the 95th minute to grab a dramatic winner.

This followed a 2-1 home defeat at the hands of Sporting Lisbon two Saturdays ago when Abel Ruiz grabbed a 92nd-minute consolation goal after Jovane Cabral and Pedro Goncalves put the reigning champions two goals ahead.

Carlos Carvalhal's side have now picked up six points from a possible nine and will look to avoid more dropped points to keep abreast with the sides at the top of the table.

Meanwhile, Vitoria picked up their first win of the new season last Sunday when they cruised to an emphatic 4-0 win over Vizela on home turf.

With the scores level going into the break, Os Vimaranenses put on a clinical team performance in the second half as Andre Andre, Oscar Estupinan, Marcus Edwards and Falaye Sacko were on target to condemn the newly-promoted side to their second defeat of the season.

Prior to that, Vitoria were on a run of six games without a win in the Primeira Liga, with their last win coming back in April when they beat Moreirense 2-0.

With one win and one draw from their opening three games, Pepa will be impressed with his side's positive start to the season and will hope last week's performance can serve as a springboard for a fine run of form.

However, next up is the daunting task of taking on an opposing side who have won each of the last five meetings and are unbeaten in 10 of the last 11.

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W

Braga form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W

Vitoria de Guimaraes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W


Team News

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Carvalhal will be unable to call upon the services of left-back Francisco Moura, who is yet to feature this year after rupturing his cruciate ligament back in November 2020.

He is joined on the club's injury table by David Carmo and Andre Castro, who are presently recovering from ankle and groin injuries respectively.

Nuno Sequeira was hooked off with a 22nd-minute injury against Maritimo three weeks ago and is also out of contention for Sunday's game.

Meanwhile, Vitoria will be boosted by the return of Alfa Semedo, who is expected to slot right into the middle of the park having served his one-match ban for picking up a red card in the game against Estoril Praia two Fridays ago.

However, first-choice goalkeeper Bruno Varela and striker Joseph Amoah remain on the sidelines through knee and ankle injuries respectively.

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Oliveira, Silva, Tormena; Fabiano, Musrati, Fransergio, Galeno; Piazon, Ruiz, Martins

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Trmal; Sacko, Fernandes, Borevkovic, Soares; Almeida, Semedo, Andre; Rochinha, Estupinan, Quaresma


SM words green background

We say: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Fresh off the back of picking up their first win of the season, Vitoria will head into Sunday's game full of confidence and in high spirits. However, looking at the trend of results between the sides over the last four years, we anticipate Braga will come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
84.2%
Draw
0.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
15.8%
19
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Matheus Nunes celebrates scoring for Sporting Lisbon in April 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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